Best betting method
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I Used This Betting Strategy to Beat the Bookies: FULL ExplanationDIFFERENCE BETWEEN BDD AND TD DIRECT INVESTING
You may be confused now, but let me explain this with an example. Most of the bookmakers are offering an odds of 1. But there is a bookmaker which is offering an odd of 1. The goal of a value bettor is to take these value betting opportunities at every match possible. Check my value betting guide for more info or my list of the best value betting software or alternatively my RebelBetting review to learn more about one of the best services.
Football betting system based on statistics Bookmakers are generating odds based on their database of historical data and every piece of information available. The amount of information they get can be different between bookmakers. Winning football bets based on statistics is only viable if you prove that your information about the match and players are more accurate.
Bookmakers do not have the resource to react to every new trend and information for every match available. Your advantage in football betting could be in following the matches live; — Taking action when the bookmaker is not as fast as it should be.
Example of football betting strategy based on statistics: You can find a lot of databases about football matches in the past You can analyze them, noting for example, how both teams had a lot of corners in the past matches in the first half Open the match when the match is live and follow them in the first half If they have fewer corners at the minute of than you would expect after statistics you should have more attention to the dynamic of the playstyle If one or both of the teams are pushing for a goal and the number of dangerous attacks is high you can wait for at least one more corner I suggest you wait till the odds for the over corner get to at least 1.
Both services get data from tens of thousands of football matches each year. Their way of approach to these statistics is different but the amount of value they can offer for a football betting strategy is amazing. Play ThePercentage for example is capable of processing this data and backtesting your football strategy. It means if you want to try a new strategy they are capable of testing it based on historical data and odds. You can insert everything about your system and their software will tell you if you would be profitable or not in the long run.
Zcode system on the other hand is focusing on analyzing historical data and will display predictions based on them. One of their most important tool for your football betting strategy can compare upcoming events based on these statistics. It will display every essential data, like the chance of scoring over 2.
Each of these predictions is displayed in a percentage format. You can read more about these services in my following football betting data article. Follow tipsters with a good football betting strategy If you are reading this article, you probably already tried following tipster services.
Many people think that finding a tipster on a platform with a long and profitable prediction history is enough to support your football betting strategy. In most cases, this is not true because of the simple fact that many tipsters can manipulate their betting history. By this, they can change a losing streak into long-term profits by simply changing stakes or deleting some bets. If you truly want to follow successful and trustworthy tipsters, you need to platforms such as Tipstrr.
Their filtering system will help you spot the best sites that predict football matches correctly and can support your football betting strategy. Some of them offer predictions even for free. The one thing I learned is that nobody is going to offer a quality strategy or information for free.
You can also check my Tipstrr Review or my article about the best tipster with the top football tipsters included. Matched betting: Simple football betting strategy Matched betting is the simplest football betting strategy. It is based on odds comparison sites and odds differences between bookies. Even Crypto Bookmakers are offering welcome bonuses , SNR free bets , and boosted odds in order to attract the attention of potential customers or bettors.
Regular bettors are trying to take advantage of these bonuses by placing normal bets and hoping for a winning bet. Bonuses used this way are a big waste of opportunity in making guaranteed profits from sports betting. Besides using many bookie scanners I also tried two of the best matched betting services in the UK. Both of them offer an in-depth tutorial and guides on how to make advantage of bookie offers. Check my Profit Accumulator review and OddsMonkey review for more info.
How to use matched betting for winning with football betting? Find bookmakers with good bonus offers, I would say at least a 20 dollar free bet bonus Place arbitrage bets with these bonuses, so no matter which outcome will win, you complete the requirements and you can withdraw the bonus money check the Terms and Conditions for that particular bonus How to calculate stakes at matched betting? The stake at the odds of 1. Why take higher odds when matched betting on free bets?
An example of a dollar free bet: You place 20 dollars on odds of 5. The more an account stays under the radar the more chance you have to get bonuses. In my following article, you can read more about how to delay being gubbed at bookmakers. These opportunities are creating arbitrage opportunities for smart bettors. Placing these kinds of bets is increasing your profits. This kind of betting strategy can offer you only a fraction of your winning at football betting.
But if they are available, you should use them. Normal bettor vs one that follows a smart football betting technique? By using Betfair Exchange , you can back for and against outcomes similarly to how you would on a regular bookmaker.
This can be a complex process to get your head around, but we have a post that should really help you out: The Definitive Guide to Betfair Trading. The Betting System That MIGHT Work For You This is a bankroll management system, rather than strictly a football betting system, but it is something you should definitely consider: The Kelly Criterion Based on sound money management, the Kelly Criterion is a betting system that implements a calculated method to determine the stake of a bet on an outcome with higher-than-expected odds.
The system maximises the value of the bet by determining the percentage of your bankroll you should use. Just like any system the Kelly Criterion has its drawbacks, and these are quite pronounced in football betting. Firstly, using the example above, it often asks you to invest a significant amount of your bankroll on a bet. Whilst you may have heard about them elsewhere, or have been recommended them by people you think you can trust, they are absolutely not worth pursuing — ever.
The Martingale Method basically entails a bettor doubling their stake immediately following any losing even-money bet, thereby allowing the first win to recover all previous losses. Good in theory, not quite the case in reality. Because a run of bad luck could essentially bankrupt any bettor using this method. Anyone who has invested time and money in sports betting understands that no matter how sound your research and analysis has been, a series of losing bets by account of bad luck is entirely possible.
Stay clear of the of the Martingale Method when wagering on football — the only way it would ever work is if you had infinite amounts of money. This is impossible of course. Fibonacci Method Among the three possible outcomes to football matches — win, loss or draw — one often gets overlooked, the draw. Perhaps this is because they can be more difficult to pick than either Team A or Team B winning. So, by using the Fibonacci Method in football betting, the bettor tries to exploit this.
The Fibonacci Method is based on a mathematical sequence where each new number equals the total of the previous two. It looks like this: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13… and so on. How does this all apply to football? Well, implementing this method has been encouraged on those wishing to bet on draws. Basically, the method entails the implementation of two principles: Find bets on draws with a probability above 2.
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